341K subscribers in the runescape community. runescape rare is obviously the party hat and that was given out freely to everyone, during only one event, but freely. Integrity itself might not be enough to compensate for the lack of whaling. TH MTX is bad because it's nothing but gamba gamba. Especially for a game like runescape, when the Gower brothers owned this game it would be unthinkable. I hated what MTX, dailies, and the xp curve did to the game. OSRS, the 2007 version of RuneScape, has a much larger community, and they're against MTX. With the very fair odds of 1/1,000,000 per key (per hat color of course). Sheesh. Includes both: mtx is neccesary; promise to reduce/ mtx departement is seperate from main team;lack of content has nothing to do with mtx. MarkAntonyRs. Even this good MTX grants advantage. As an example, 10 years ago, Runescape was supported by a small subscription and it received more updates than it does now. (And this in my opinion is a MASSIVE understatement to how many. The past few days there's been a couple of posts pointing out how it is annoying that people are still complaining about Hero Pass even though Jagex has walked back a bunch of unsavoury features of it. ago. I'd suggest they're included in game revenue. Until we end up where once big games are now: the best weapons, mounts, armor, pots, etc. Too many people are stuck in the early 2000s when xp was hard to get, skills maxed out at 50k xp/hr, and getting 99s was a huge accomplishment. For better or worse, Runescape's current situation is likely its only path forward. If Runescape adapted that, man it'd be so much better. Crypto"MTX" don't have the "M" part in them, unless we're addressing "m"acro. Definitely the rose petal aura reward from valentine will be my most favorite mtx. But im max and have been playing 18 years. Yes, but whales can compensate loss of players. If MTX goes, so will runescape. I think last time this was argued against the person literally proved without MTX runescape makes about $1 million net profit when they made like 74 million last year. Instead of skips, it should let you pick your task (120 slayer cape/reaper's choice-style), so you still have to do a task, but you could pick very short/fast ones (maybe also don't allow doing the same task twice in a row, so you still have to move around to different skilling locations a bit). See also: Squeal of. spaghetti code is an issue maybe they should make an effort to un-spaghetti it. Jagex owns both games, and their viability as a company is dependent upon RuneScape 3's continued growth. true104 votes, 41 comments. Always found it odd that increasing xp rates, dxps, mtx downplays other peoples achievements in game, for me there's no achievement other than the ones I choose for myself. TH is a new function that works as a loot chest for cosmetics. Its only am is to make fast money. Dyes. Assuming that having a membership option that unlocks more content makes it pay to win means that almost all MMOs would be pay to win. It's horrible, and straight up wasting my time. I get that people dont like MTX, I hate it myself. 1. It has slots that are blacked out where you can click that slot to see how to get that MTX item you're missing, and it fills up once you've unlocked it. Dev_Hollow • 2 hr. Microtransactions (abbreviated as MTX) are a form of monetisation model where players can purchase virtual goods in a game. A player mixing two dyes. For dying in-game, see Death (mechanic). The results are in and, in my personal opinion, are not really what I expected. A 10. Meaning subs would go from the £8. Even if the effect isn’t relevant, something like this will be released more often. Jagex had once taken a stance against the ability to pay to advance in the game. MTX…After many years in development, Runescape Mobile is here. -Aura_Knight- • 2 mo. Like why would you cry about it if it does not affect you? It's not like it is a race and "other players spending cash in MTX" make you worse off. Sound good? I wonder how many people would come back to RS3. Earlier this week, Runescape developer Jagex published a blog. Jagex won’t ever be able to have any kind of MTX update or change to monetization without blowback. Rant Wednesday is a monthly thread for exactly what you might think it's for. MTX RuneScape is on Google Play. Especially for a game like runescape, when the Gower brothers owned this game it would be unthinkable. Jagex's financials for 2020 are in. During Hero Pass events, players can earn a number of items, including cosmetics, that they can use on their character. A major element of these discussions will be monetisation (especially MTX), and how it features within RuneScape. Halloween will be a pumpkin on their heads. CryptoIs RuneScape 3 Worth Trying Today? I've played OSRS for a few years now, but I'm considering trying out RuneScape 3. 2 is toxic and is more or less a casino scam. Hundreds of thousands of people played and worlds were often full. You’ve seen content quality and quantity start to slide,. But please, PLEASE stop this formula of announcing MTX as big updates. I'll be excited to play once gambling MTX is removed. Let MTX visibly and quantitively contribute to updates. The way it's implemented into RuneScape encourage short-term profits while foregoing long term sustainability. 3. In RuneScape, this refers to anything that you can purchase with real-world currency that is not a membership subscription. Valheim Genshin Impact Minecraft Pokimane Halo Infinite Call of Duty: Warzone Path of Exile Hollow Knight: Silksong Escape from Tarkov Watch Dogs: Legion. Dyes. MTX as a broader whole is related to the context of this week's update and the community's outrage surrounding it. Yes, but whales can compensate loss of players. 6 months from now, buy different combat bundles, for just 450. So i' d like to say right away that I'm no fan of the vast majority of MTX that exists in RS3 but I plan to go into some ideas and feedback on what I…Posted by u/Giovanni1996 - 1,858 votes and 513 commentsBusiness, Economics, and Finance. It's only when you finally separate yourself from the game. Any additions offered through partnerships will not be exclusive, and will be available for all members at a later date. Microtransactions. Primal feast heals 10,000 LP instead of that measly 2,300 LP from a rocktail. An event would actually feature ingame content that has to do with the player and the world, which all but like two of them have lacked. It does not affect you negatively with these promotions in any way, as. r/runescape. The second point I think goes over most RuneScape people heads. The insane complaining and ranting of this community is destroying the game before JAGEX ever will. Join us! 293k. On a separate note, there is the whole other issue with necromancy single handedly killing the end game pvm grind. This is very annoying because underneath terrible management and hideous amounts of MTX, Runescape 3 is a fantastic game with a lot of potential. Worst of all, it relies on manipulative, dishonest tactics. Tbf, even if they are just adding this instead of replacing it, it will dilute the pool of mtx. The peeps going to Runefest should all ask about MTX and what(if even) they are going to change. it’s called MTX or microtransactions. Now after the rework, you must smelt it at any furnace. RS3 is one of my all time favourite games and I'd be super stoked to have it on Steam and such. When attacked successfully, they grant the player one hour of elder overload potion buff. : r/runescape. It could also be the speedrunners hub. And the predatory, gambling nature of MTX makes the game seem cheap. 6m before subsequent buyers of Jagex had to Restate the numbers to what they actually are (around 1. Is RuneScape 3 Worth Trying Today? I've played OSRS for a few years now, but I'm considering trying out RuneScape 3. We have to somehow rebalance the game so new and old players want to play. I get we're all living on sunk cost with this game, but get real, this company has 0 intention of changing if we keep giving them ropeThe community for Old School RuneScape discussion on Reddit. This makes all my achievements seem worthless and makes 99s in general not seem like an achievement. It's a very goofy quest that references an old slime event. Treasure Hunter is not the definitive solution to MTX, and there should be a better, lucrative form of MTX or source of revenue that's in line with what the players want and the spirit of the game. Does the GSH event cater too much to MTX usage? Green Santa Hat is the newest released "rare," and gathering paper wrapping is the method to acquire packages for a chance at the hat. Might add one in the morning though, if still relevant/needed. They don't care that there is greater and greater dissent - essentially they are trying to get as much profit as possible - The Laffer curve, before it is too late. Runescape hardly stands apart anymore, it’s just a typical mobile clicker/hack n slash with a promo event every month . A few months back I began transferring gp from OSRS to RS3 to get back into the rares game. Without any mtx, jagex would have still ended positive in terms of profit. G. MTX is a massive point of contention and if Jagex doesn't address our issues they are going to further damage RS3's…I’m a new player looking forward to join the Runescape adventure. ago. 5. Premium Powerups Explore Gaming. Stop making holiday events into a RNG/MTX garbage fest event (s)! I'm so tired to see holiday events turn into crappy RNG fest events or here have the junk as holiday rewards and the good stuff locked behind MTX. And there's clearly a lot of whales if they keep MTX around, there's probably more than ever judging by the increase in frequency and power of promotions. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. Players bristled at the way it was described as a major update to Runescape, especially on the heels of the well-received Necromancy combat update, instead arguing. trueTons of players - we're talking millions upon millions - play clearly spammy MTX sellout games with far worse graphics, story, gameplay, and MTX-based imbalance on mobile. Or a rage post. Probably a lot. For 3-7, they're cosmetics. 340K subscribers in the runescape community. People make these suggestions in good faith, as replacements, not supplements. 1m). 2) MTX can be bought directly OR “gambled” on at a far cheaper price in the market shops. I'm more perturbed that I played Runescape for years AND THEN they decided to add MTX. Runescape's end-game is so cut and dry. This is the last straw. In 2018 their MTX sales accounted for ~25M while their subs accounted for (including RS3 and OSRS) 67. Everything else is MTX focused. Mtx is being pushed harder because jagex is told to do so, if it bothers you that much don't play same for downplaying your achievements by fsw accounts. 0 coins. IM don’t get MTX, it’s an MTX free mode. Take advantage of overloads or something too. That's something like 3. Oh ya that's a good point. 341K subscribers in the runescape community. The MTX collection log has certain categories for mtx, with a checkmark when you complete that category like a boss log. It might not be strictly P2W in the literal sense but it's pretty close and really not worth defending. Just a reminder that if you don't want to spend money on MTX, don't. Runescape has no endgame itself, and you can enjoy it at your own leisure and at your own pace. And it would help Jagex make wonderful content like Fresh. A subreddit dedicated to the MMORPG RuneScape. You will be polled on what additions are. I mostly play runescape solo anyway, and have no reason for mtx at all the game is about the process not the end goal. If you're 104 herb and and 115 cooking you can make Primal feast. 10 pulse cores is a lot, that's a thousand oddments. runescape players don't know that many games have best in slot equipment and literally straight up endgame content locked behind MTX yet we still say p2w over p2progress in a fucking MMO with. tl;dr: Abused MTX, realised it ruins the essence of the game, wish it never existed! This may be a strange post for many of…Runescape remains unique compared to all other MMOs. That being said, I have been playing WAYYYY less simply because I like skilling. The O. Instead of skips, it should let you pick your task (120 slayer cape/reaper's choice-style), so you still have to do a task, but you could pick very short/fast ones (maybe also don't allow doing the same task twice in a row, so you still have to move around to different skilling locations a bit). The update being marketed, (though there was very little marketed outside of a single line that is was a major update) was a bad choice saying it was a major update, but other than that I’m sitting here, “yep, just another day,” so I’m not going to lose sleep over it and I’ll see it. Hey guys, in this RuneScape 3 video I will be discussing MTX and its current state in RuneScape 3. Meteor Storm: +33% XP/BXP from lamps, or +100% in your lowest 5 skills. The sheer number of things to do in RuneScape would completely dwarf a short list of microtransaction related features. Runescape players’ beef with microtransactions started in 2012 with the game’s “Squeal of Fortune” update, which let players spin a wheel in exchange for armor, money, or experience points. Pay to win mtx is very unfortunate for the game but you can jump ship to iron mode Cosmetic mtx is great and things like solomon's store should be expanded on with community input But they were necessary for the game to continue on. MTX is unacceptable. Back then, PvM also wasn't big, so leveling up skills was the endgame. the fourms and everything else is. RS4 = Mtx. Arguments mentioned were either 'everything's been said about Hero Pass in the first few. A 10. 9 comments. First, thank you for your comments, ideas and complaints - yes really! Your care for the game shines through. RuneScape is on Google Play. 1 is gross for the reasons you stated already. They are okay with the amount of MTX but at the same breath are probably complaining about bad game updates, underdeveloped content, dead content on arrival, or shelved content. The edgeville and lumbridge ones you must walk at least a few steps to a furnace. The new popular topic for Runescape players to discuss is removing the game's abundance of microtransactions. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. Google Play has rules regarding loot boxes: . Gambling/manipulative mtx is the most problematic and unethical. Open menu Open navigation Go to Reddit Home. Let whales be whales and let the game continue. Am I the only one that never really felt that RS3 MTX is intrusive? I returned to the game in 2019 as a low level player and never felt that I had to buy bonds or pay for anything to progress my account. Business, Economics, and Finance. Join us!183 votes, 37 comments. If you deduct the figure you have for game revenue and. A. I don’t know how much people tend to drop on this game, but I’d consider myself an above average MTX enjoyer. I'm not saying MTX are evil and have no place in RuneScape. 134 votes, 34 comments. Quick find code: 17-18-548-66261664. - In Normal Mode, it functions as a DPS dummy, and in Hard Mode, it's essentially a 2m DPS dummy with added complexity, comparable to HM Vindicta. Also, mining concentrated coal/gold gives you 1 progress for each ore, so 5 per mine. 7mil, in 2015 it was 19. I think that alot of took for granted the games integrity. 349 votes, 314 comments. 8 Completionist (t) • 5 hr. If RS3 dies OSRS is probably next. Everything about dailies was the opposite of that. r/runescape • smash (a) and collect currency (b) in hopes of obtaining rare item (c) is a real heartless event blueprint that should never be used again for holiday events. See moreMTX = Microtransactions. RuneScape wasn’t going to survive without the cash flow of MTX and RuneScape will never expand unless they address the “shitty fomo events” everyone’s been crying about. Assuming you did the calculations with the. Solomon's - I see this as slightly different because it is tied to Loyalty Points which were originally introduced as a way of rewarding long term members over time. But only regular GP. And runemetrics should be free with premier and 50% off for normal members. They were as high as 3. Give it a starting point and it will plague the entire system. I get that people dont like MTX, I hate it myself. [1] MTX = Microtransactions. TLDR: people doing mtx don't affect your own gameplay. So, i know they are in the game for years, already dealt demage , but we should presure jagex to remove those items from the TH or any other way to buy em. I understand that many runescape players want and enjoy a fairness aspect of the game, but what I'm not comprehending is the common disconnect between players and mtx. Welcome to the world of RuneScape - One world, two amazing games! RuneScape is the original game that's been evolving for over 20 years! Old School RuneScape is the game as you remember it from 2007 - improved and expanded!The Old School UI has always been pretty average and it's very restricting. 5) custom UI designs and filters. I bought keys deal with it. Even if Jagex removed all P2W from RS3 now, the ship has sailed, we need a clean slate. Join us!Ah, a weekly dose of Jagex good, jagex bad. The entirety of oldschool rs survives solely on people being whales. Add some cloth/chain/padding or whatever for the neck area right under the golden mask. Get Limited Edition Merch Now!! - Jagex needs to change MTX in runescape 3 and put in some more unique and high qu. 340K subscribers in the runescape community. RuneScape 3 has disenfranchised its playerbase so significantly that it cannot go unnoticed anymore. Get rid of it. Many of you will have recently seen community videos with allegations around a Jagex employee and suspected bias in account banning. It is designed to be addictive though, through incentives like daily tasks, leveling to 99 and accompanied experience rates, maxing the levels, roulette wheel drop mechanics via bossing, and ofc, treasure hunter. In Runescape's case, they are little cosmetic things or bonds. Retro Overrides Poll Results & MTX Suggestion. go to the runemetrics metrics tab disable lightweight mode then and there should be a close button for the window. Bonds were introduced into OSRS in mid 2015. I have concerns, that when so many Runescape players are writing and messaging these MPs, saying there needs to be legislative control over gaming due to addiction, with the goal of removing MTX; What they're actually going to accomplish is a broad bill targeting gaming in general, with both MTX and things like play time severely limited by law. Like a full year of game time. Hello, I've never killed Airuts before, so I was wondering if you guys had any tips for them. Definitely quit and join an osrs private server. To my gladness a lot of the questions asked during the live stream were very realistic suggestions, making the game better while still maintaining Jagex's profits. But back in the years 2008 to 2011, the game did force players to diy skills. Halloween around the corner and another wave of Key Promo's and exclusive shop cosmetics, except for the fomo of a nearly impossible gamble from smashing a stupid pumpkin. true. monetary gain. CryptoYou don't need to disassemble your armor for XP. This then gives us the following : 67,653,172$/4 = 16,913,293$. Dye can also refer to the low cost colour dyes which can only be used to recolour a different group of items. ago. That is 5+ hours a day for 90 days to hit 120. Elder Overload Golems are monsters found in Lumbridge Crater during the Week 2: Celebration of Combat (11–17 January 2021) event of the Grand Party and in War's Retreat during the Combat Week (19–26 April 2021) of Awesome April. Sports. IM don’t get MTX, it’s an MTX free mode. Well, by now it seems very few people are actually happy with the outcome of the poll. They will never decrease MTX, they will increase it as needed to get as much cash from a whale as possible. While the recent update was reverted, and it can be perceived as a win, the community has shown that we have potential to help move RuneScape in the right direction toward an MTX-free game. Don't even bother. Possible rewards do include XP lamps and bonus XP stars, with a higher chance to receive whatever the current promotion is. So maths wise and from what the whole damn thing explained I worked it out as 200 keys should be enough with 10. Treasure Hunter and other MTX promotions can introduce massive. What happens when MTX comes for osrs? Ive played runescape since classic, i couldn't even spell most thing at the time (i started real young). Couldnt agree more, I've been playing since 06 and honestly MTX wasn't the issue. Runescape is a fucking caveman wielding a slingshot in WW2. Your MTX figures for 2012 and 2013 cannot be correct. Which was work to obtain your goals. Vios Jun 13, 2021 @ 3:24pm. No its not but it devalues the clue rewards. I mean, freemium mtx based games survive on a huge player pool with potential whales because they're so readily accessible. You're good, mate. We take these allegations extremely seriously and there is a formal internal investigation underway using the evidence provided. The MTX will not be this bad if all these people did not have alts! You guys think most of these people are dropping IRL bank on spins, but the fact is, the. A subreddit dedicated to the MMORPG RuneScape. MTX Revenue was at it's historical peak in 2021 since SoF was released. Runescape as a base just isn't that profitable. If you assume that all the money from the increase in MTX - the percentage that is tied to player base increase, then you come out with about 17m of that MTX money coming from RS3 and 10m coming from OSRS. To me, Jagex would need over a year of consistent good updates without any garbage predatory MTX or other scumfuck updates to even start building up good credit again. Almost all games have this, and it can either be purely cosmetic like Solomon's General Store, or provide in-game benefits like XP Lamps, Bonus stars, or Skilling Outfits. That is just a fact. It's a 0 hour skill, just wear the boots and you periodically gain agility xp for doing nothing. Rework it and keep it as the only form of MTX. Ironmen complaining about this was the most hypocritical. Goddamn is Potion Pandemonium predatory as hell. No. Priffddinas and Menaphos should have both been accompanied by an increase in bankspace, for example, which they traditionally would have in a pre-MTX RuneScape. It has been around 8 months since the MTX firestorm hit its peak and Jagex was forced to release a statement promising ‘big…The committee doesn't have any more hearings lined up for this inquiry yet, but let them know you'd like to testify as a service user your experience with MTX in relation to Jagex using certain tactics with MTX with the knowledge and intent that it would leverage addictive behaviours and tendencies in those vulnerable to such predatory tactics. Any additions we offer will not impact your playing experience. You can buy Treasure Hunter keys and use them in addition to your daily ones. It’s a fun game. i remember when jagex apologized back in 2017 too. 2012: The introduction of Squeal of Fortune and Solomon's Store. What's going to happen to Old School if profit loss from RuneScape 3 starts to significantly affect their bottom line? Even though we are likely to get a surge of new players from. Warning - Cash Grabbing MTX Game with Greedy Management. Another part of the game that differentiates RS from other MMORPGs is the quest style. At some point you realize you are paying them to take more money from their addicts. Players can not spend more than £1,000 a week or £5,000 a month on microtransactions in RuneScape. if jagex wanna push mtx then the way to maximise mtx revenue is to sell to as many people as possible, which means making the best game they can so they have more people to push mtx to. Even many whales would definitely pay 11$ more spread onto mtx rather than paying it up front every month. So they'll push an update but never go back to fix it and the other key issues in the game. saying "mtx makes the game to easy" is not the same as "The only way to succeed in this game is to pay real money,". So excluding all other prizes that's about 58K / key in base EXP and as much in potential BXP conversion including the smouldering lamps you get after using the phoenix lamps. GameStop Moderna Pfizer Johnson & Johnson AstraZeneca Walgreens Best Buy Novavax SpaceX Tesla. A subreddit dedicated to the MMORPG RuneScape. It kills the gold farming and selling business (which is illegal and jagex have the responsibility over) somewhat and it allows players who cant afford membership to play the game. MTX is a disease; a cancer. the player count on the osrs homepage counts just the people playing osrs. The constant bombardment from cookie-cutter, recycled money grabbing events in the game 'masked' as content without an appropriate attempt to at least conceal their true predatory nature has taken a great toll it seems. I would probably play RS3 if they did a clean start similar to OSRS' launch, but without MTX and fixing the xp scaling. Level 40 - 5,000 collected memory. Level 40 - 5,000 collected memory. This means over 110 million dollars came from only MTX, and is exactly. 5k. Don't even bother. 01% chance of winning) BattlePass - another cosmetics and random feature store. Give the money directly to Jagex and go back to doing the stuff that really counts. 1 Ecb 1 Sgb 1 elite sirenic hauberk 1 Eof 2000 overloads 1 000 000 000 gp. MTX, player base, and rares 17-18-548-66261664 04-Sep-2022 14:58:56 - Last edited on 04-Sep-2022 15:01:55 The deadness of just this forum seems to be an. Think of it this way, 100% of all dyes used where earned though clues, now due to MTX the clue dyes are not in as much demand as the items that would have been dyed are now being dyed by a MTX reward. The only real downside to MTX is that players who haven't played before won't start playing because everyone addresses the game as p2win not p2progress. TOA ranged training at 1m an hour, bursting magic at clan wars, numerable absurd construction methods, runners for runecrafting, etc. 6) RS Hall of fame - plonk this somewhere prestigious and house a tonne of leaderboards. I personally have never once seen a single person criticize Ironman account for their lack of MTX spending. And if it goes beyond RuneScape, try to find someone to talk to. Sometime I even think it might be for the best if RuneScape 3 shuts down permanently because we are getting closer to the point that there will be no bottom line for MTX and FOMO. RS3 seems more focused on pushing out a Brand New Extra Marketable updates over and over and over, because the bean counters in marketing think this is what will bring in the money. Jagex owns both games, and their viability as a company is dependent upon RuneScape 3's continued growth. To protect confidentiality, we will not share the specifics of the investigation. Youll get 1 Bis Armour piece and 1 Bis weapon in new raffle event. A company that constantly pushes out half baked fomo mtx doesn’t give a flying fuck about your mental health. Once RS3. I still don’t like micro transactions, but I also simply don’t engage in any of them (besides paying for my membership, which I just view as good old fashioned regular monetization as you noted in your list), and have no. ”Better” graphics…. they recognized the problem and promised to do better, but it seems like a lot hasn't changed. yuei2 •. The only thing keeping you anchored to Runescape is your own self obligation to your character. It's one of the MMOs that handle it better, with sometimes powerful but entirely optional microtransactions that are more pay-to-skip than pay-to-win. Things have changed, the game is so pvm focused that maxing isn't a big thing anymore, and that's OK. The new popular topic for Runescape players to discuss is removing the game's abundance of microtransactions. - Hard Mode simply involves more damage and more life, lacking creativity. 748 votes, 137 comments. Showing 1 - 9 of 9 comments. Syrnis • 3 mo. Sheesh. A player mixing two dyes. This game is over-monetized when compared to OSRS (which only has bonds as MTX). Jagex knows this and dont want to lose that money. Playing it as anything but a facebook game is a. You're already milking the RS3 community dry for over 2 years with 24/7 treasure hunter promotions so can we from at least Christmas. A good example of this is the Treasure Hunter activity in rs3 where you can buy 'keys' for irl money and unlock chests for a chance at resources, coins and most importantly, exp. I think RS3 players like to think in their head that RS3 MTX is the lifeblood of Jagex, but honestly it is making up a tiny fraction of the revenue at this point. Players can not spend more than £1,000 a week or £5,000 a month on microtransactions in RuneScape. Boo. 13-Sep-2023 16:00:12. With the introduction of MTX, however, players can buy their way to achievements. Elder Overload Golems are monsters found in Lumbridge Crater during the Week 2: Celebration of Combat (11–17 January 2021) event of the Grand Party and in War's Retreat during the Combat Week (19–26 April 2021) of Awesome April. Assuming that having a membership option that unlocks more content makes it pay to win means that almost all MMOs would be pay to win. TLDR: people doing mtx don't affect your own gameplay. This just shows how much MTX RuneScape has had and still going. In an effort to prevent this post from being completely zero effort though, some of my thoughts: I think what might be the worst part is the nature of probability.